Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.020598 0.022152 0.023767 0.025574 0.027538 0.029611 0.031968
2026-01-04 0.017977 0.020208 0.022646 0.025514 0.028804 0.032470 0.036875
2026-01-11 0.016324 0.018959 0.021947 0.025600 0.029963 0.035029 0.041387
2026-01-18 0.015072 0.017970 0.021356 0.025627 0.030900 0.037236 0.045482
2026-01-25 0.014146 0.017248 0.020967 0.025786 0.031910 0.039492 0.049684
2026-02-01 0.013183 0.016386 0.020314 0.025523 0.032313 0.040945 0.052882
2026-02-08 0.012290 0.015539 0.019603 0.025106 0.032444 0.041998 0.055558
2026-02-15 0.011609 0.014912 0.019118 0.024928 0.032840 0.043377 0.058704
2026-02-22 0.010970 0.014296 0.018603 0.024660 0.033072 0.044511 0.061538
2026-03-01 0.010429 0.013776 0.018179 0.024475 0.033385 0.045744 0.064549
2026-03-08 0.009942 0.013300 0.017782 0.024296 0.033676 0.046936 0.067541
2026-03-15 0.009569 0.012959 0.017549 0.024323 0.034247 0.048539 0.071211
2026-03-22 0.009136 0.012528 0.017188 0.024178 0.034599 0.049900 0.074702
2026-03-29 0.008765 0.012169 0.016914 0.024143 0.035114 0.051535 0.078740
2026-04-05 0.008460 0.011886 0.016731 0.024227 0.035802 0.053460 0.083350
2026-04-12 0.008161 0.011597 0.016521 0.024252 0.036392 0.055250 0.087842
2026-04-19 0.007918 0.011378 0.016400 0.024401 0.037171 0.057370 0.093010
2026-04-26 0.007587 0.011011 0.016039 0.024155 0.037300 0.058436 0.096438
2026-05-03 0.007241 0.010606 0.015602 0.023764 0.037167 0.059051 0.099105
2026-05-10 0.006973 0.010309 0.015316 0.023596 0.037386 0.060255 0.102879
2026-05-17 0.006702 0.009995 0.014989 0.023344 0.037445 0.061181 0.106197
2026-05-24 0.006466 0.009725 0.014719 0.023171 0.037623 0.062313 0.109956
2026-05-31 0.006244 0.009470 0.014461 0.023002 0.037796 0.063436 0.113761